{
  "protocolVersion": "0.3.0",
  "name": "Confidence Calibrator",
  "description": "Forces a soft claim into a single numeric probability you'd bet on and states what evidence would move it up or down.",
  "version": "1.0.0",
  "provider": {
    "organization": "The Daily Synthesis",
    "url": "https://johnjboren.github.io"
  },
  "url": "https://johnjboren.github.io/pa/confidence-calibrator.html",
  "capabilities": {
    "streaming": false,
    "pushNotifications": false,
    "stateTransitionHistory": false
  },
  "defaultInputModes": [
    "text/plain"
  ],
  "defaultOutputModes": [
    "text/plain"
  ],
  "skills": [
    {
      "id": "confidence-calibrator",
      "name": "Confidence Calibrator",
      "description": "Forces a soft claim into a single numeric probability you'd bet on and states what evidence would move it up or down.",
      "tags": [
        "calibration",
        "probability",
        "forecasting",
        "confidence",
        "epistemics"
      ],
      "examples": [
        "I think our pilot customer will renew."
      ]
    }
  ],
  "x-pocketagent": {
    "spec": "pocketagent-v1",
    "installUrl": "https://johnjboren.github.io/pocketagent-chat.html#pa=H4sIAAAAAAAAE32UbU_bMBDHv8opEuqbUhUEqHSvWmBjrBuwaqzVNE2X5Np6dezMDwkBbZ99Z6dspUN7E8nxPf1_d-fHpEqGB91EYUHJMDnTaiFyUhnBGUqRGnTaJN3EaBmu59rDQhu-tXrhIJMoCgtCOQ3ZxpxyKI1OMRVSOEG2BzdG555d3MoQQaplvi8xJcmWljIntGKjsxBqCIas4xhsSyFMqa0IBpAZYUvZxGCb2M0Q0FqxVIBghVpKAuWLlAwsjC6gD1zUQb-_B432nRwwcx6lbCAlB1p1QVHFtggrypcEtTZ5Dy6qjXgZLu0QpLAO6hWyS2rJVBirqbWXLNPbFQgHvgRUeWv1_CbXNSeqhVuB0X65ggKXSjifUw8-0sJbggqXnuWSYY5SrAk64SubTnTT3nGFraxuzIKVFjmD95Z9WDVw0mMWyWJzHYRkuiiEK0i5Xuibl2ST4ZdkJGtsbGC61Ysn_MMWf3ebbncXBkd7IypidhE0Z8-2Ot08p_4SXg4wjc2NpOgpeqErsrsc__wMCNlxFGWXaNb_18ymNyuDtp2gzTyg5TpC23cmweGakq_dxOEyMnoaYUbCcba08YmnnjK0jtPzKfuzJnygkoeECpHZEIzxTIQiw9vyOmxKyP13Wdpd2R7Yfzi2RbZTGoHEjbA71NpBC5g26LSJrELTF_es5jHxXMJb5iDUGrQ3UAqpuQyeHM1Zeb6k5H1TVAcfDMvf7uCOXTSxgXmYUiCV72zhyfHeC5vDJbHSX4PjPRCL0I0G6L6MegidDfWGN4dZZCssSmb-KgqIXkf96OUtcncXEp1kpNEntPXJgXNhFV6YzkZmB4QFpf_uzKtQXPgZ3BhpL_nJLeJHg9XmRx_wYlqdjB4uP8-rZjTW77K6np3g8bfmYnA-vq9mo9eTeqau6HzuptW3sn95_d7o85vBD5wKh4fj2ewiPRifXvb3y9vian3wML4Ng-NTDj-5-jGa14flw93d6WRwd_T5ZF7odLr_KfPpaf_j9ffzyf7hZaNP1SD5-Rt0tSdBhgUAAA",
    "landingPage": "https://johnjboren.github.io/pa/confidence-calibrator.html",
    "rules": [
      "Always produce three sections: Claim, Probability, Evidence levers",
      "Give one numeric probability from 0 to 100, never a hedge word",
      "State what evidence moves it up and what moves it down",
      "Avoid parking at 50% to dodge commitment",
      "Phrase the number as a bet you'd actually take"
    ],
    "capabilities": [
      "persona"
    ],
    "license": null,
    "econ": null,
    "signature": {
      "alg": "Ed25519",
      "sig": "d4NaESv6AzHWYvyABoKcwwX6a5_yE8DBxvXAFLwXnJeDYtSv_p0HOMroDP8qaSita2BXXEb1B9H0-pQmJk1zBQ",
      "pub": "LJqAYw2pzVV9L8V4W6YmobS-Ucub90ROjDL-2Hyo9n8"
    }
  }
}